Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.205983 1.437938 1.682103 1.956523 2.254689 2.567324 2.918414
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.863444 1.178234 1.532797 1.954189 2.434482 2.958820 3.568753
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.647397 0.989057 1.395172 1.897986 2.490158 3.153734 3.942597
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.481500 0.831751 1.271977 1.838959 2.526976 3.315778 4.270917
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.369158 0.720853 1.186963 1.808643 2.582309 3.485945 4.596157
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.302138 0.660097 1.157008 1.839089 2.704977 3.730816 5.004963
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.241406 0.597179 1.115808 1.848378 2.796304 3.934400 5.362198
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.181182 0.522685 1.049860 1.818335 2.833065 4.068253 5.633683
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.165687 0.521167 1.087040 1.925285 3.043293 4.413328 6.158130
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.152267 0.520751 1.124422 2.031746 3.252706 4.757699 6.682510
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.142836 0.526087 1.169641 2.148695 3.475833 5.119513 7.228887
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.136044 0.535340 1.220356 2.273225 3.709146 5.494578 7.792317
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.111544 0.505779 1.212579 2.321258 3.851360 5.768406 8.248827
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.083581 0.460668 1.176216 2.326845 3.937422 5.973305 8.623931
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.052548 0.393684 1.095514 2.261879 3.924297 6.049311 8.837425
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029862 0.333818 1.019115 2.197649 3.908063 6.118431 9.040195
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016349 0.290445 0.965987 2.163738 3.929272 6.231944 9.294613
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010383 0.271702 0.957350 2.197560 4.043858 6.465788 9.699480
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.005243 0.247565 0.934963 2.207788 4.124204 6.654529 10.047529
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001315 0.213632 0.887454 2.174564 4.140979 6.758874 10.288376
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001122 0.221945 0.931933 2.292787 4.375149 7.149864 10.892955
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000937 0.229901 0.975744 2.410208 4.608645 7.540596 11.498054
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000890 0.240680 1.026120 2.538907 4.858902 7.954104 12.132911